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Birthday problem: at least two do NOT share

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What it tests: Reading the negation instead of solving the famous version.

Prompt length: 89 characters, roughly 20 tokens (estimate). · Evaluation results for many models ↗

Prompt
In a room of 30 people, what's the probability that at least two do not share a birthday?

How to grade it

Practically 100 %. 'At least two don't share a birthday' fails only if all 30 share the same birthday, with probability (1/365)^29 ≈ 4.9 × 10⁻⁷⁵ (ignoring leap years), so the answer is 1 − 4.9 × 10⁻⁷⁵ ≈ 1.

Answer check: Computed with exact fractions: 1 − (1/365)^29.

Scorecard tick what the model got right: 0/4

Runs in your browser; nothing is saved or sent.

0/4

Where models usually fail

Answering about 70.6 %, the probability that at least two DO share.

Source

Author
GitHub @cpldcpu and contributors
From
Misguided Attention
Exact file or post
https://github.com/cpldcpu/MisguidedAttention/blob/bbae011e1fb5ce239373cb2f381787baec0dd236/README.md
Licence
CC0 1.0
How we use it
Full text (licence allows reuse)

Testing a local model? Check first whether it fits your hardware with Can I run this LLM?

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